Skip to main content
Market icon

Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu

Market icon

Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu

Talarico i Paxton 59%

Talarico i Cornyn 40%

Crockett i Cornyn <1%

Inne <1%

Polymarket

$670,214 Wol.

Talarico i Paxton 59%

Talarico i Cornyn 40%

Crockett i Cornyn <1%

Inne <1%

Polymarket

$670,214 Wol.

Talarico i Paxton

$251,412 Wol.

59%

Talarico i Cornyn

$178,670 Wol.

40%

Crockett i Cornyn

$64,298 Wol.

1%

Inne

$26,474 Wol.

1%

Crockett i Paxton

$104,197 Wol.

<1%

Talarico i Hunt

$22,572 Wol.

<1%

Crockett i Hunt

$22,592 Wol.

<1%

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, making him the presumptive general election opponent and driving all leading market outcomes. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff on May 26 after neither reached a majority, with Rep. Wesley Hunt conceding. A Texas Public Opinion Research poll released yesterday shows Paxton leading Cornyn 8 points among GOP voters, reflecting his stronger appeal to the party base amid ongoing mudslinging and boosting trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 59%. Talarico's record $27 million first-quarter fundraising haul signals robust Democratic support ahead of the November 3 general election.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Wolumen
$670,214
Data zakończenia
Mar 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.State Rep. James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary by defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett, making him the presumptive general election opponent and driving all leading market outcomes. Incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton advanced to the Republican primary runoff on May 26 after neither reached a majority, with Rep. Wesley Hunt conceding. A Texas Public Opinion Research poll released yesterday shows Paxton leading Cornyn 8 points among GOP voters, reflecting his stronger appeal to the party base amid ongoing mudslinging and boosting trader consensus toward a Talarico-Paxton matchup at 59%. Talarico's record $27 million first-quarter fundraising haul signals robust Democratic support ahead of the November 3 general election.

The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.

This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.

If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Wolumen
$670,214
Data zakończenia
Mar 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary. This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections. This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution. If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Talarico i Paxton" z 59%, za nim "Talarico i Cornyn" z 40%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 59¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 59% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu" wygenerował $670.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 19, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu" jest "Talarico i Paxton" z 59%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 59% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Talarico i Cornyn" z 40%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Turniej wyborczy Senatu Teksasu" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.