Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande stepped down to pursue a Senate bid, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus reflecting his incumbency advantage and consistent polling strength. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the mayor of Vitória, trails as the primary challenger amid a field narrowed to five confirmed candidates following party conventions in August. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in several first-round scenarios, bolstered by alliances including support from Casagrande's network, while Pazolini draws backing from certain conservative factions. Other contenders such as Helder Salomão (PT) register minimal support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables shaping implied probabilities in the prediction market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEspírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço 68%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.9%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
$13,690 Wol.
$13,690 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
68%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Arnaldinho Borgo
5%
Sergio Vidigal
1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 68%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.9%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
$13,690 Wol.
$13,690 Wol.
Oct 5, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$7,254 Wol.
68%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$3,595 Wol.
29%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$1,803 Wol.
5%
Sergio Vidigal
$487 Wol.
1%
Euclério Sampaio
$550 Wol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande stepped down to pursue a Senate bid, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus reflecting his incumbency advantage and consistent polling strength. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the mayor of Vitória, trails as the primary challenger amid a field narrowed to five confirmed candidates following party conventions in August. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in several first-round scenarios, bolstered by alliances including support from Casagrande's network, while Pazolini draws backing from certain conservative factions. Other contenders such as Helder Salomão (PT) register minimal support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables shaping implied probabilities in the prediction market.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,690Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande stepped down to pursue a Senate bid, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus reflecting his incumbency advantage and consistent polling strength. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the mayor of Vitória, trails as the primary challenger amid a field narrowed to five confirmed candidates following party conventions in August. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in several first-round scenarios, bolstered by alliances including support from Casagrande's network, while Pazolini draws backing from certain conservative factions. Other contenders such as Helder Salomão (PT) register minimal support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables shaping implied probabilities in the prediction market.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$13,690Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande stepped down to pursue a Senate bid, holds the leading position in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus reflecting his incumbency advantage and consistent polling strength. Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the mayor of Vitória, trails as the primary challenger amid a field narrowed to five confirmed candidates following party conventions in August. Recent surveys show Ferraço ahead in several first-round scenarios, bolstered by alliances including support from Casagrande's network, while Pazolini draws backing from certain conservative factions. Other contenders such as Helder Salomão (PT) register minimal support. The October 4 first-round vote and potential runoff dynamics remain key variables shaping implied probabilities in the prediction market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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