Recent polling from late August 2026 shows incumbent Governor Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) leading first-round intentions with 35-42% support against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 28-33% and Helder Salomão (PT) at 10-11%, consistent with his position as the frontrunner for re-election on October 4. Ferraço assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate bid, and surveys indicate 56% approval for his administration alongside decisive advantages in second-round matchups. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the structural benefits of incumbency in the Espírito Santo contest, where Pazolini remains the clearest challenger while minor candidates register negligible support. Elections remain weeks away, leaving room for shifts in voter preferences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEspírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço 75%
Lorenzo Pazolini 22%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
$33,611 Wol.
$33,611 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
75%
Lorenzo Pazolini
22%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 75%
Lorenzo Pazolini 22%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
$33,611 Wol.
$33,611 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$11,782 Wol.
75%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$10,057 Wol.
22%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,776 Wol.
<1%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Wol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Wol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows incumbent Governor Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) leading first-round intentions with 35-42% support against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 28-33% and Helder Salomão (PT) at 10-11%, consistent with his position as the frontrunner for re-election on October 4. Ferraço assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate bid, and surveys indicate 56% approval for his administration alongside decisive advantages in second-round matchups. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the structural benefits of incumbency in the Espírito Santo contest, where Pazolini remains the clearest challenger while minor candidates register negligible support. Elections remain weeks away, leaving room for shifts in voter preferences.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,611Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows incumbent Governor Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) leading first-round intentions with 35-42% support against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 28-33% and Helder Salomão (PT) at 10-11%, consistent with his position as the frontrunner for re-election on October 4. Ferraço assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate bid, and surveys indicate 56% approval for his administration alongside decisive advantages in second-round matchups. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the structural benefits of incumbency in the Espírito Santo contest, where Pazolini remains the clearest challenger while minor candidates register negligible support. Elections remain weeks away, leaving room for shifts in voter preferences.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$33,611Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August 2026 shows incumbent Governor Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) leading first-round intentions with 35-42% support against Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) at 28-33% and Helder Salomão (PT) at 10-11%, consistent with his position as the frontrunner for re-election on October 4. Ferraço assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate bid, and surveys indicate 56% approval for his administration alongside decisive advantages in second-round matchups. Trader pricing aligns with these trends and the structural benefits of incumbency in the Espírito Santo contest, where Pazolini remains the clearest challenger while minor candidates register negligible support. Elections remain weeks away, leaving room for shifts in voter preferences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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