Ongoing US-Ukraine diplomatic engagement, including recent envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv, has produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over any Ukrainian territory, consistent with longstanding congressional resolutions affirming Ukraine's 1991 borders and executive policy emphasizing territorial integrity. Russia continues to demand such recognition as a core condition for any settlement, while Ukraine rejects territorial concessions outright amid active negotiations over security guarantees and ceasefires. Traders assign 96% probability to "No" before 2027 because no agreement has advanced to formal US acknowledgment, and structural barriers including legislative restrictions and Ukrainian opposition remain intact. A breakthrough in trilateral talks or executive action tied to a comprehensive deal could still shift odds, though recent rounds have yielded only incremental prisoner exchanges without resolving core territorial disputes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano4% szansa
$187,736 Wol.
$187,736 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% szansa
$187,736 Wol.
$187,736 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Ongoing US-Ukraine diplomatic engagement, including recent envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv, has produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over any Ukrainian territory, consistent with longstanding congressional resolutions affirming Ukraine's 1991 borders and executive policy emphasizing territorial integrity. Russia continues to demand such recognition as a core condition for any settlement, while Ukraine rejects territorial concessions outright amid active negotiations over security guarantees and ceasefires. Traders assign 96% probability to "No" before 2027 because no agreement has advanced to formal US acknowledgment, and structural barriers including legislative restrictions and Ukrainian opposition remain intact. A breakthrough in trilateral talks or executive action tied to a comprehensive deal could still shift odds, though recent rounds have yielded only incremental prisoner exchanges without resolving core territorial disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$187,736Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.Ongoing US-Ukraine diplomatic engagement, including recent envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv, has produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over any Ukrainian territory, consistent with longstanding congressional resolutions affirming Ukraine's 1991 borders and executive policy emphasizing territorial integrity. Russia continues to demand such recognition as a core condition for any settlement, while Ukraine rejects territorial concessions outright amid active negotiations over security guarantees and ceasefires. Traders assign 96% probability to "No" before 2027 because no agreement has advanced to formal US acknowledgment, and structural barriers including legislative restrictions and Ukrainian opposition remain intact. A breakthrough in trilateral talks or executive action tied to a comprehensive deal could still shift odds, though recent rounds have yielded only incremental prisoner exchanges without resolving core territorial disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Wolumen
$187,736Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Ukraine diplomatic engagement, including recent envoy visits to Moscow and Kyiv, has produced no formal recognition of Russian sovereignty over any Ukrainian territory, consistent with longstanding congressional resolutions affirming Ukraine's 1991 borders and executive policy emphasizing territorial integrity. Russia continues to demand such recognition as a core condition for any settlement, while Ukraine rejects territorial concessions outright amid active negotiations over security guarantees and ceasefires. Traders assign 96% probability to "No" before 2027 because no agreement has advanced to formal US acknowledgment, and structural barriers including legislative restrictions and Ukrainian opposition remain intact. A breakthrough in trilateral talks or executive action tied to a comprehensive deal could still shift odds, though recent rounds have yielded only incremental prisoner exchanges without resolving core territorial disputes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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