Incumbent Sen. Mark Warner commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% to win Virginia's Democratic Senate primary on August 4, driven by his three-term record, former governorship, and formal filing with over 18,000 signatures on March 16 amid minimal viable opposition. Challenger Jason Reynolds, an IT professional mounting a progressive bid since June 2025, trails at 0.8% with limited name recognition and resources, while recent primary rival Mark Moran switched to an independent run on April 2 after party backlash over his redistricting criticism. Warner's endorsements from figures like Sen. Tim Kaine bolster his incumbency edge in a low-turnout primary. Late scandals, health issues, or a surprise fundraising surge by Reynolds could shift odds, though such barriers remain steep.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$26,765 Wol.
$26,765 Wol.
Mark Warner
99%
Jason Reynolds
1%
$26,765 Wol.
$26,765 Wol.
Mark Warner
99%
Jason Reynolds
1%
If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Virginia Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Mark Warner commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.1% to win Virginia's Democratic Senate primary on August 4, driven by his three-term record, former governorship, and formal filing with over 18,000 signatures on March 16 amid minimal viable opposition. Challenger Jason Reynolds, an IT professional mounting a progressive bid since June 2025, trails at 0.8% with limited name recognition and resources, while recent primary rival Mark Moran switched to an independent run on April 2 after party backlash over his redistricting criticism. Warner's endorsements from figures like Sen. Tim Kaine bolster his incumbency edge in a low-turnout primary. Late scandals, health issues, or a surprise fundraising surge by Reynolds could shift odds, though such barriers remain steep.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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