U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, per AAA data, driven primarily by escalating conflict in Iran that disrupted oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and pushed crude oil above $100 per barrel. This marked a 27-cent weekly increase and a near-30% rise since early April, amid supply fears from the war's onset in late February. Seasonal refinery maintenance concluded without major hitches, but rising summer driving season demand and limited U.S. refinery capacity amplified pressures. Traders focused on geopolitical risks, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and diplomatic efforts for de-escalation, with OPEC+ output decisions looming as key catalysts for May trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill gas hit __ by end of April?
Will gas hit __ by end of April?
$446,357 Wol.
Apr 30, 2026
↑ $5.00
No
↑ $4.75
No
↑ $4.50
No
↑ $4.25
Yes
↑ $4.15
Yes
↑ $4.05
Yes
↓ $3.95
No
↓ $3.85
No
↓ $3.75
No
↓ $3.50
No
↓ $3.25
No
↓ $3.00
No
$446,357 Wol.
↑ $5.00
$70,699 Wol.
No
↑ $4.75
$46,851 Wol.
No
↑ $4.50
$37,584 Wol.
No
↑ $4.25
$83,966 Wol.
Yes
↑ $4.15
$40,224 Wol.
Yes
↑ $4.05
$110,128 Wol.
Yes
↓ $3.95
$17,963 Wol.
No
↓ $3.85
$17,290 Wol.
No
↓ $3.75
$10,725 Wol.
No
↓ $3.50
$3,416 Wol.
No
↓ $3.25
$2,189 Wol.
No
↓ $3.00
$5,324 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, per AAA data, driven primarily by escalating conflict in Iran that disrupted oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and pushed crude oil above $100 per barrel. This marked a 27-cent weekly increase and a near-30% rise since early April, amid supply fears from the war's onset in late February. Seasonal refinery maintenance concluded without major hitches, but rising summer driving season demand and limited U.S. refinery capacity amplified pressures. Traders focused on geopolitical risks, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and diplomatic efforts for de-escalation, with OPEC+ output decisions looming as key catalysts for May trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Rynek otwarty: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$446,357Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, per AAA data, driven primarily by escalating conflict in Iran that disrupted oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and pushed crude oil above $100 per barrel. This marked a 27-cent weekly increase and a near-30% rise since early April, amid supply fears from the war's onset in late February. Seasonal refinery maintenance concluded without major hitches, but rising summer driving season demand and limited U.S. refinery capacity amplified pressures. Traders focused on geopolitical risks, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and diplomatic efforts for de-escalation, with OPEC+ output decisions looming as key catalysts for May trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Wolumen
$446,357Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
U.S. national average gasoline prices surged above $4.30 per gallon by April 30, per AAA data, driven primarily by escalating conflict in Iran that disrupted oil supplies through the Strait of Hormuz and pushed crude oil above $100 per barrel. This marked a 27-cent weekly increase and a near-30% rise since early April, amid supply fears from the war's onset in late February. Seasonal refinery maintenance concluded without major hitches, but rising summer driving season demand and limited U.S. refinery capacity amplified pressures. Traders focused on geopolitical risks, potential U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and diplomatic efforts for de-escalation, with OPEC+ output decisions looming as key catalysts for May trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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