Ukrainian forces face entrenched Russian positions in Myrnohrad following its capture during the 2026 Pokrovsk offensive, with Russian troops consolidating control over most of the city and using it for artillery and drone operations. Recent Ukrainian counterattacks have yielded gains north of Lyman and around Sviatohirsk, reclaiming territory and disrupting Russian logistics in adjacent sectors, yet verified advances into Myrnohrad itself remain absent amid ongoing attritional clashes on the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad axis. Ukrainian marine and airborne units continue defensive operations and targeted strikes to limit Russian infiltration, while reinforcements bolster northern approaches. Trader sentiment reflects the challenges of mounting a sustained push here given competing priorities along the broader Donbas front and Russian efforts to expand influence in the area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
$124,396 Wol.
December 31
12%
$124,396 Wol.
December 31
12%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: May 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces face entrenched Russian positions in Myrnohrad following its capture during the 2026 Pokrovsk offensive, with Russian troops consolidating control over most of the city and using it for artillery and drone operations. Recent Ukrainian counterattacks have yielded gains north of Lyman and around Sviatohirsk, reclaiming territory and disrupting Russian logistics in adjacent sectors, yet verified advances into Myrnohrad itself remain absent amid ongoing attritional clashes on the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad axis. Ukrainian marine and airborne units continue defensive operations and targeted strikes to limit Russian infiltration, while reinforcements bolster northern approaches. Trader sentiment reflects the challenges of mounting a sustained push here given competing priorities along the broader Donbas front and Russian efforts to expand influence in the area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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