Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, has remained under investigation since January 2026 for alleged serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption, failure to curb associates, and undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC posts in late August 2026, shrinking the commission to just Xi Jinping and Zhang Shengmin. Comparable high-level military cases, such as those against former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, required over 20 months to reach suspended death sentences. With no trial or verdict announced by mid-September 2026 and the opaque, lengthy nature of PLA disciplinary proceedings, traders assess a prison sentence before 2027 as unlikely, viewing the current removals and probe as the dominant near-term outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano11% szansa
$165,413 Wol.
$165,413 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
11% szansa
$165,413 Wol.
$165,413 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, has remained under investigation since January 2026 for alleged serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption, failure to curb associates, and undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC posts in late August 2026, shrinking the commission to just Xi Jinping and Zhang Shengmin. Comparable high-level military cases, such as those against former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, required over 20 months to reach suspended death sentences. With no trial or verdict announced by mid-September 2026 and the opaque, lengthy nature of PLA disciplinary proceedings, traders assess a prison sentence before 2027 as unlikely, viewing the current removals and probe as the dominant near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$165,413Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, has remained under investigation since January 2026 for alleged serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption, failure to curb associates, and undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC posts in late August 2026, shrinking the commission to just Xi Jinping and Zhang Shengmin. Comparable high-level military cases, such as those against former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, required over 20 months to reach suspended death sentences. With no trial or verdict announced by mid-September 2026 and the opaque, lengthy nature of PLA disciplinary proceedings, traders assess a prison sentence before 2027 as unlikely, viewing the current removals and probe as the dominant near-term outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$165,413Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Zhang Youxia, former senior vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, has remained under investigation since January 2026 for alleged serious violations of discipline and law, including corruption, failure to curb associates, and undermining the CMC chairman responsibility system. He was formally removed from state CMC and NPC posts in late August 2026, shrinking the commission to just Xi Jinping and Zhang Shengmin. Comparable high-level military cases, such as those against former defense ministers Wei Fenghe and Li Shangfu, required over 20 months to reach suspended death sentences. With no trial or verdict announced by mid-September 2026 and the opaque, lengthy nature of PLA disciplinary proceedings, traders assess a prison sentence before 2027 as unlikely, viewing the current removals and probe as the dominant near-term outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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