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Estreito De Ormuz previsões e probabilidades

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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

27%

$23M Vol.

$2M today

$376K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

<1%

$10M Vol.

$1M today

$876K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 horas

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

64%

$5M Vol.

$512K today

$169K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

88%

$2M Vol.

$265K today

$208K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

55%

United States

$849K Vol.

$239K today

$93.6K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

53%

$229K Vol.

$223K today

$75.4K Liq.

Ends em 30 dias

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

76%

20+

$375K Vol.

$69.6K today

$103K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

25%

60+

$63.5K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends em 16 dias

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 8?

67%

25-49

$45.3K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

7%

$24.8K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 horas

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

33%

100+

$1.6K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

1%

$8.0K Vol.

$23.3K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

80%

Oil Sanction Relief

$2M Vol.

$497K today

$176K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

33%

$337K Vol.

$56.5K today

$33.0K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

39%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$181K Liq.

167

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

100%

June 14

$56M Vol.

$6M today

$4M Liq.

1,023

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

14%

September 30

$5M Vol.

$64.7K today

$197K Liq.

140

Ends em 15 dias

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

88%

<5

$2.4K Vol.

$40.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 dias

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 9 - June 16, 2026?

85%

<5

$12.6K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 12 - June 19, 2026?

78%

<5

$5.5K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Estreito De Ormuz.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Estreito De Ormuz that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $107.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to June 15. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Estreito De Ormuz predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.