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Uap predictions & odds

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Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

9%

December 31

$61M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

1,609

Ends in 6 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

August 31

+ 2 more

$207 Vol.

Ends in 2 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

91%

July 31

$73.2K Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

$634K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

82%

Not revealed in 2026

$14.1K Vol.

$60.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

White House # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

White House # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

47%

200+

$2.9K Vol.

$34.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?

36%

84%-85%

$4.6K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Zelenskyy # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

31%

80-99

$995 Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

11%

July 31

$74.0K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

$116K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$73.7K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

86%

August 31

$29.3K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 23 - June 30, 2026?

71%

60-79

$5.8K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$9.6K Liq.

135

Ends in 6 months

Khamenei # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 30 - July 7, 2026?

75%

<5

$1.3K Vol.

$11.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

Counter-Strike: Infinite vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group D

100%

Infinite

$17.3K Vol.

White House # posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?

White House # posts June 26 - July 3, 2026?

39%

180-199

$16.2K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

56%

December 31, 2027

$504K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

33

Ends in over 1 year

What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

What caused the Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion?

43%

Propellant Leak

$427 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Uap.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Uap that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $64.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 9% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Uap predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.