Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 71.5% for Nothing Ever Happens: 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through early May, including President Trump remaining in office amid routine executive actions, stable leadership under Xi Jinping, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. ground forces into Iran. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets—limited "love taps" in response to attacks on American destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz—fall short of full invasion or regime collapse criteria. Bitcoin holds steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no geological catastrophes like VEI 6+ eruptions or 9.0+ earthquakes reported. November midterms loom as a key risk if Republicans secure a Senate supermajority alongside trifecta control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRien ne se passe jamais : 2026
Rien ne se passe jamais : 2026
Oui
$554,426 Vol.
$554,426 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$554,426 Vol.
$554,426 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 71.5% for Nothing Ever Happens: 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through early May, including President Trump remaining in office amid routine executive actions, stable leadership under Xi Jinping, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. ground forces into Iran. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets—limited "love taps" in response to attacks on American destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz—fall short of full invasion or regime collapse criteria. Bitcoin holds steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no geological catastrophes like VEI 6+ eruptions or 9.0+ earthquakes reported. November midterms loom as a key risk if Republicans secure a Senate supermajority alongside trifecta control.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Marché ouvert : Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$554,426Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 71.5% for Nothing Ever Happens: 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through early May, including President Trump remaining in office amid routine executive actions, stable leadership under Xi Jinping, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. ground forces into Iran. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets—limited "love taps" in response to attacks on American destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz—fall short of full invasion or regime collapse criteria. Bitcoin holds steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no geological catastrophes like VEI 6+ eruptions or 9.0+ earthquakes reported. November midterms loom as a key risk if Republicans secure a Senate supermajority alongside trifecta control.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Volume
$554,426Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" at 71.5% for Nothing Ever Happens: 2026, reflecting the absence of any resolution triggers through early May, including President Trump remaining in office amid routine executive actions, stable leadership under Xi Jinping, and no escalatory military invasions such as China into Taiwan, Russia into a NATO country, or U.S. ground forces into Iran. Recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets—limited "love taps" in response to attacks on American destroyers in the Strait of Hormuz—fall short of full invasion or regime collapse criteria. Bitcoin holds steadily between $10,000 and $1 million, with no geological catastrophes like VEI 6+ eruptions or 9.0+ earthquakes reported. November midterms loom as a key risk if Republicans secure a Senate supermajority alongside trifecta control.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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