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U.S. 2024 Elections predictions & odds

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Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

89%

$2.7K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

93%

$2.3K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

UT-04 House Election Winner

UT-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.3K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$1.3K Vol.

$25.8K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

TN-04 House Election Winner

TN-04 House Election Winner

92%

Republican Party

$1.2K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MD-04 House Election Winner

MD-04 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$23.2K Vol.

$36.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$9.2K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CT-04 House Election Winner

CT-04 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$25.8K Vol.

$36.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

PA-04 House Election Winner

PA-04 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$4.4K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

89%

$50.1K Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 days

MA-04 House Election Winner

MA-04 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$34.3K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

TX-04 House Election Winner

TX-04 House Election Winner

86%

Republican Party

$3.5K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NY-04 House Election Winner

NY-04 House Election Winner

80%

Democratic Party

$90 Vol.

$615 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

KS-04 House Election Winner

KS-04 House Election Winner

83%

Republican Party

$30.9K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

AZ-04 House Election Winner

AZ-04 House Election Winner

82%

Democratic Party

$12.3K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

66%

Republican Party

$6.0K Vol.

$732 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

NJ-04 House Election Winner

NJ-04 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$401 Vol.

$28.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

MO-04 House Election Winner

MO-04 House Election Winner

93%

Republican Party

$14.8K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

WA-04 House Election Winner

WA-04 House Election Winner

81%

Republican Party

$25.7K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

89%

Republican Party

$2.2K Vol.

$31.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like U.S. 2024 Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for U.S. 2024 Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $254K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MA-04 House Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 89% chance to Yes. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on U.S. 2024 Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.