Skip to main content
icon for Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Política·áfrica

Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

icon for Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Política·áfrica

Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Ahmed Galadima 65%

Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 42%

Maurice Vunobolki 41%

Omar Suleiman 41%

Polymarket
NOVO

Ahmed Galadima 65%

Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu 42%

Maurice Vunobolki 41%

Omar Suleiman 41%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Ahmed Galadima

Ahmed Galadima

$21 Vol.

65%

icon for Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu

Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu

$21 Vol.

42%

icon for Maurice Vunobolki

Maurice Vunobolki

$21 Vol.

41%

icon for Omar Suleiman

Omar Suleiman

$21 Vol.

41%

icon for Christopher Nathaniel

Christopher Nathaniel

$21 Vol.

40%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Galadima's APC primary victory and subsequent coalition-building efforts have positioned him as the frontrunner in the February 2027 Adamawa governorship race, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to his win. The APC ticket benefits from elite reconciliation, grassroots outreach ahead of September 2026 campaign launch, and cross-party stakeholder engagement that contrasts with fragmented opposition fields. Recent PDP sweeps in Adamawa's June 2026 local government elections underscore the incumbent party's local organizational strength, yet market pricing reflects Galadima's relatively controversy-free profile and broader alliance potential against candidates such as Maurice Vunobolki, Omar Suleiman, Christopher Nathaniel, and Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu. INEC timelines and primary outcomes continue to shape trader assessments of viable paths to victory.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$105
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Ahmed Galadima's APC primary victory and subsequent coalition-building efforts have positioned him as the frontrunner in the February 2027 Adamawa governorship race, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to his win. The APC ticket benefits from elite reconciliation, grassroots outreach ahead of September 2026 campaign launch, and cross-party stakeholder engagement that contrasts with fragmented opposition fields. Recent PDP sweeps in Adamawa's June 2026 local government elections underscore the incumbent party's local organizational strength, yet market pricing reflects Galadima's relatively controversy-free profile and broader alliance potential against candidates such as Maurice Vunobolki, Omar Suleiman, Christopher Nathaniel, and Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu. INEC timelines and primary outcomes continue to shape trader assessments of viable paths to victory.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$105
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Adamawa State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Relacionado

icon for Mustapha Gubio vencerá a eleição para governador de Borno em 2027?

Mustapha Gubio vencerá a eleição para governador de Borno em 2027?

75%
Sim
icon for Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?

Will Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar win the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election?

38%
icon for Ahmed Aliyu vencerá a eleição para governador do Estado de Sokoto em 2027?

Ahmed Aliyu vencerá a eleição para governador do Estado de Sokoto em 2027?

67%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ahmed Galadima" at 65%, followed by "Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu" at 42%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" is "Ahmed Galadima" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu" at 42%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.