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icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

$13,043 Vol.

2 jun 2026
Polymarket

$13,043 Vol.

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$8,626 Vol.

99%

Peter Verbica

$1,175 Vol.

66%

Sean Dougherty

$148 Vol.

27%

Tuka Gafari

$1,162 Vol.

11%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$352 Vol.

3%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Vol.

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,525 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,043
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,043
Data de Término
2 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-19 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jimmy Panetta" at 99%, followed by "Peter Verbica" at 66%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CA-19 Primary Winners" has generated $13K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CA-19 Primary Winners," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-19 Primary Winners" is "Jimmy Panetta" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Peter Verbica" at 66%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-19 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.