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Eleições·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Eleições·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Rudy Moise 40.0%

Elijah Manley 28%

Dale Holness 9.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Rudy Moise 40.0%

Elijah Manley 28%

Dale Holness 9.4%

Polymarket
NOVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$157 Vol.

52%

Rudy Moise

$855 Vol.

40%

Elijah Manley

$2,194 Vol.

31%

Dale Holness

$1,654 Vol.

9%

Maisha Williams

$308 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$273 Vol.

4%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Vol.

2%

Mark Douglas

$283 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District at 56.5% in trader pricing due to her substantial name recognition, fundraising edge of more than $2.5 million, and a recent internal poll showing her at 52% support. Mid-decade redistricting shifted her previous seat, prompting her May entry into the plurality-Black district left vacant by Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April resignation amid ethics and legal matters. Elijah Manley trails at 30% amid efforts by Black candidates, including Manley, Dale Holness, and Luther Campbell, to consolidate support and counter the perceived threat to historic representation. Other contenders such as Rudy Moise and Maisha Williams remain below 30%, reflecting limited visibility and resources in a race where the primary winner is expected to prevail in November.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,510
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District at 56.5% in trader pricing due to her substantial name recognition, fundraising edge of more than $2.5 million, and a recent internal poll showing her at 52% support. Mid-decade redistricting shifted her previous seat, prompting her May entry into the plurality-Black district left vacant by Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April resignation amid ethics and legal matters. Elijah Manley trails at 30% amid efforts by Black candidates, including Manley, Dale Holness, and Luther Campbell, to consolidate support and counter the perceived threat to historic representation. Other contenders such as Rudy Moise and Maisha Williams remain below 30%, reflecting limited visibility and resources in a race where the primary winner is expected to prevail in November.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,510
Data de Término
18 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" at 53%, followed by "Rudy Moise" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rudy Moise" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.