Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 52 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger and other Democratic contenders. The district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns have produced strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Independent ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A shift in the November general election would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference, potentially triggered by a national political realignment or unforeseen local developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-18
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-18
$35,239 Vol.
$35,239 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
4%
$35,239 Vol.
$35,239 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$16,690 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$18,548 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 52 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger and other Democratic contenders. The district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns have produced strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Independent ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A shift in the November general election would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference, potentially triggered by a national political realignment or unforeseen local developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$35,239Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 52 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger and other Democratic contenders. The district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns have produced strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Independent ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A shift in the November general election would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference, potentially triggered by a national political realignment or unforeseen local developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,239Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary in California's 18th congressional district, securing roughly 52 percent of the vote against a Republican challenger and other Democratic contenders. The district's consistent partisan registration advantage and historical voting patterns have produced strong Democratic performance in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Independent ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A shift in the November general election would require an unusually large swing in turnout or voter preference, potentially triggered by a national political realignment or unforeseen local developments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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