Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's sustained high-volume X posting, with recent XTracker data showing 74 posts from April 2-3 (daily average of 37) and 277 over March 27-April 3, anchoring expectations around 90-110 total for April 4-6. The closely matched frontrunners—65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (27.5%)—highlight uncertainty in his variable rhythm, driven by reactive engagement on politics, Tesla milestones like Supercharger expansions, and Grok updates. A teased Starship Version 3 first flight in this window could spike activity via live commentary, while quieter periods might pull toward the lower bin; traders eye real-time social media metrics and breaking announcements as key swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 33%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
NOVO
$135,588 Vol.
NOVO
$135,588 Vol.
6 abr 2026
<40
3%
40-64
20%
65-89
33%
90-114
28%
115-139
14%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 33%
90-114 28%
40-64 20%
115-139 14%
NOVO
$135,588 Vol.
NOVO
$135,588 Vol.
6 abr 2026
<40
$10,246 Vol.
3%
40-64
$6,462 Vol.
20%
65-89
$2,400 Vol.
33%
90-114
$5,156 Vol.
28%
115-139
$5,398 Vol.
14%
140-164
$5,914 Vol.
3%
165-189
$11,577 Vol.
1%
190-214
$12,645 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$36,333 Vol.
<1%
240+
$39,856 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's sustained high-volume X posting, with recent XTracker data showing 74 posts from April 2-3 (daily average of 37) and 277 over March 27-April 3, anchoring expectations around 90-110 total for April 4-6. The closely matched frontrunners—65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (27.5%)—highlight uncertainty in his variable rhythm, driven by reactive engagement on politics, Tesla milestones like Supercharger expansions, and Grok updates. A teased Starship Version 3 first flight in this window could spike activity via live commentary, while quieter periods might pull toward the lower bin; traders eye real-time social media metrics and breaking announcements as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$135,588Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's sustained high-volume X posting, with recent XTracker data showing 74 posts from April 2-3 (daily average of 37) and 277 over March 27-April 3, anchoring expectations around 90-110 total for April 4-6. The closely matched frontrunners—65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (27.5%)—highlight uncertainty in his variable rhythm, driven by reactive engagement on politics, Tesla milestones like Supercharger expansions, and Grok updates. A teased Starship Version 3 first flight in this window could spike activity via live commentary, while quieter periods might pull toward the lower bin; traders eye real-time social media metrics and breaking announcements as key swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$135,588Data de Término
6 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's sustained high-volume X posting, with recent XTracker data showing 74 posts from April 2-3 (daily average of 37) and 277 over March 27-April 3, anchoring expectations around 90-110 total for April 4-6. The closely matched frontrunners—65-89 tweets (32.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (27.5%)—highlight uncertainty in his variable rhythm, driven by reactive engagement on politics, Tesla milestones like Supercharger expansions, and Grok updates. A teased Starship Version 3 first flight in this window could spike activity via live commentary, while quieter periods might pull toward the lower bin; traders eye real-time social media metrics and breaking announcements as key swing factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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