Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–319 posts at roughly equal implied probabilities, mirroring his resolved 260–279 total from the prior week (March 20–27) amid steady political commentary on voter ID and uniparty critiques. Daily averages hover near 30–40 posts, fueled by viral engagements on X around Tesla Cybertruck features, Neuralink speech restoration demos, and SpaceX updates, though variance persists from high-volume days like 83 posts on March 22. Key swing factors include early April Starlink launches and potential Cybercab production announcements, which could spike activity, while lulls in controversy might pull toward the lower end—highlighting the crowd wisdom in this unpredictable celebrity social media market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$137,271 Vol.
$137,271 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
320-339 11%
$137,271 Vol.
$137,271 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
10%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
3%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for March 31–April 7 clusters tightly around 260–319 posts at roughly equal implied probabilities, mirroring his resolved 260–279 total from the prior week (March 20–27) amid steady political commentary on voter ID and uniparty critiques. Daily averages hover near 30–40 posts, fueled by viral engagements on X around Tesla Cybertruck features, Neuralink speech restoration demos, and SpaceX updates, though variance persists from high-volume days like 83 posts on March 22. Key swing factors include early April Starlink launches and potential Cybercab production announcements, which could spike activity, while lulls in controversy might pull toward the lower end—highlighting the crowd wisdom in this unpredictable celebrity social media market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions