Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 65-89 tweets (32%) and 90-114 tweets (30%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 26-28, 2026, reflecting his historical average of 20-40 daily posts amid variable news cycles. Recent spikes—such as over 100 posts in 24 hours during December 2024 political clashes and DOGE announcements—bolster higher bins, while quieter periods like post-earnings lulls favor the lower range. Key differentiators include potential Tesla Q1 updates, SpaceX milestones, or Trump administration developments by late March, all prone to ignite viral engagement. With no fixed events confirmed, traders weigh Elon's unpredictable responsiveness to cultural moments against baseline habits, keeping the race tight until closer to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 32%
90-114 30%
40-64 19%
115-139 13%
$260,311 Vol.
$260,311 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
19%
65-89
32%
90-114
30%
115-139
13%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 32%
90-114 30%
40-64 19%
115-139 13%
$260,311 Vol.
$260,311 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
19%
65-89
32%
90-114
30%
115-139
13%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 65-89 tweets (32%) and 90-114 tweets (30%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 26-28, 2026, reflecting his historical average of 20-40 daily posts amid variable news cycles. Recent spikes—such as over 100 posts in 24 hours during December 2024 political clashes and DOGE announcements—bolster higher bins, while quieter periods like post-earnings lulls favor the lower range. Key differentiators include potential Tesla Q1 updates, SpaceX milestones, or Trump administration developments by late March, all prone to ignite viral engagement. With no fixed events confirmed, traders weigh Elon's unpredictable responsiveness to cultural moments against baseline habits, keeping the race tight until closer to resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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