Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet tally for March 24-31, 2026, at 280-399 posts (top bins at 12.5% for 280-299, closely trailed by 320-339 at 12%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting rhythm of 35-50 daily updates, extrapolated from recent averages exceeding 300 weekly amid political fervor and X algorithm tweaks amplifying his reach. Key drivers include historical spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, and culture-war debates, with post-2024 election engagement sustaining elevated output despite occasional lulls. Tight clustering highlights uncertainty around event-driven surges—potential DOGE policy announcements or viral memes—versus baseline habits, underscoring the market's sensitivity to Elon's unpredictable real-time reactions in a fluid media landscape.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado280-299 13%
320-339 12%
300-319 12%
340-359 10%
$112,719 Vol.
$112,719 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
7%
260-279
8%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
10%
360-379
10%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
2%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
280-299 13%
320-339 12%
300-319 12%
340-359 10%
$112,719 Vol.
$112,719 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
3%
220-239
5%
240-259
7%
260-279
8%
280-299
13%
300-319
12%
320-339
12%
340-359
10%
360-379
10%
380-399
8%
400-419
5%
420-439
2%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's tweet tally for March 24-31, 2026, at 280-399 posts (top bins at 12.5% for 280-299, closely trailed by 320-339 at 12%), reflecting his sustained high-volume posting rhythm of 35-50 daily updates, extrapolated from recent averages exceeding 300 weekly amid political fervor and X algorithm tweaks amplifying his reach. Key drivers include historical spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX milestones, and culture-war debates, with post-2024 election engagement sustaining elevated output despite occasional lulls. Tight clustering highlights uncertainty around event-driven surges—potential DOGE policy announcements or viral memes—versus baseline habits, underscoring the market's sensitivity to Elon's unpredictable real-time reactions in a fluid media landscape.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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