Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 19-21, 2026 (37% implied probability), reflecting his established pattern of 25-40 daily posts as X's most prolific cultural provocateur, blending Tesla updates, SpaceX hype, and meme-fueled political commentary. Close behind are 65-89 (24%) and 115-139 (24%), bracketing his historical three-day averages around 100 amid fluctuating viral moments. Recent developments, including algorithm tweaks boosting his visibility and sustained high engagement post-2024 election cycles—where he exceeded 150 tweets daily—bolster these mid-range odds, though unannounced 2026 events like Starship milestones could spike volumes higher. Absent major disruptions, this steady output drives positioning for conservative traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado90-114 36%
65-89 25%
115-139 23%
140-164 6.9%
$654,291 Vol.
$654,291 Vol.
<40
<1%
40-64
7%
65-89
25%
90-114
36%
115-139
23%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 36%
65-89 25%
115-139 23%
140-164 6.9%
$654,291 Vol.
$654,291 Vol.
<40
<1%
40-64
7%
65-89
25%
90-114
36%
115-139
23%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 16, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 90-114 tweets from March 19-21, 2026 (37% implied probability), reflecting his established pattern of 25-40 daily posts as X's most prolific cultural provocateur, blending Tesla updates, SpaceX hype, and meme-fueled political commentary. Close behind are 65-89 (24%) and 115-139 (24%), bracketing his historical three-day averages around 100 amid fluctuating viral moments. Recent developments, including algorithm tweaks boosting his visibility and sustained high engagement post-2024 election cycles—where he exceeded 150 tweets daily—bolster these mid-range odds, though unannounced 2026 events like Starship milestones could spike volumes higher. Absent major disruptions, this steady output drives positioning for conservative traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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