Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets from Elon Musk over March 21-23, 2026, at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 90-114 at 24.5%, reflecting his volatile posting patterns as a pop culture provocateur. Recent spikes—often exceeding 50 daily during Tesla unveils, SpaceX milestones, or political dust-ups like the 2024 election frenzy—anchor high-end bets, with averages hovering 20-40 posts amid X's algorithm favoring his viral memes and feuds. Lower bins lag due to rare quiet periods, but weekend timing raises upside risk for unscripted rants or Grok AI hype; resolution hinges on official X metrics, underscoring Elon's unpredictable blend of tech evangelism and cultural trolling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 32%
90-114 25%
115-139 15%
40-64 14%
$77,692 Vol.
$77,692 Vol.
<40
4%
40-64
14%
65-89
32%
90-114
25%
115-139
15%
140-164
7%
165-189
6%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 32%
90-114 25%
115-139 15%
40-64 14%
$77,692 Vol.
$77,692 Vol.
<40
4%
40-64
14%
65-89
32%
90-114
25%
115-139
15%
140-164
7%
165-189
6%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 19, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets from Elon Musk over March 21-23, 2026, at 32% implied probability, closely trailed by 90-114 at 24.5%, reflecting his volatile posting patterns as a pop culture provocateur. Recent spikes—often exceeding 50 daily during Tesla unveils, SpaceX milestones, or political dust-ups like the 2024 election frenzy—anchor high-end bets, with averages hovering 20-40 posts amid X's algorithm favoring his viral memes and feuds. Lower bins lag due to rare quiet periods, but weekend timing raises upside risk for unscripted rants or Grok AI hype; resolution hinges on official X metrics, underscoring Elon's unpredictable blend of tech evangelism and cultural trolling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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