Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado65-89 38%
90-114 27%
40-64 20%
115-139 12%
NEW
$79,026 Vol.
NEW
$79,026 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
Menos de 40
2%
40-64
20%
65-89
38%
90-114
27%
115-139
12%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
90-114 27%
40-64 20%
115-139 12%
NEW
$79,026 Vol.
NEW
$79,026 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
Menos de 40
$9,965 Vol.
2%
40-64
$5,799 Vol.
20%
65-89
$4,646 Vol.
38%
90-114
$3,982 Vol.
27%
115-139
$2,091 Vol.
12%
140-164
$3,869 Vol.
3%
165-189
$4,669 Vol.
1%
190-214
$7,341 Vol.
1%
215-239
$19,985 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,680 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$79,026Data de Término
Mar 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 28 12:00 PM ET to March 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$79,026Data de Término
Mar 30, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 tweets (37.5% implied probability) and 90-114 (26.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts over March 28-30, 2026, reflecting his sustained high-volume posting patterns as X's owner and a central pop culture figure. Recent weeks show Musk averaging 20-40 posts daily, with spikes exceeding 100 during political events like the 2024 U.S. election aftermath and Tesla announcements, driving optimism for similar momentum in 2026 amid potential midterms or SpaceX milestones. Lower buckets trail due to historical floors rarely dipping below 40 over three days, even in quieter periods, though unpredictable news cycles—such as regulatory battles or viral memes—could push toward 140+ extremes. Markets anticipate steady engagement absent major platform changes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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