Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2–4 tilts toward 65–89 posts at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 20–30 posts daily. March 26–28 resolved squarely in the 65–89 bin, while March 30–April 1 paces similarly per the official xTracker, underscoring steady engagement amid Tesla FSD 14.3 beta rollout and Grok translation upgrades. The tight contest hinges on weekend dynamics—potential lulls versus spikes from SpaceX updates or political commentary— with 90–114 (22.5%) viable if viral moments amplify his cultural dominance on the platform. Traders eye real-time tracker data as the swing factor before April 4 ET close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoElon Musk # tweets 2 de abril a 4 de abril de 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets 2 de abril a 4 de abril de 2026?
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
NOVO
$113,577 Vol.
NOVO
$113,577 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<40
3%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
23%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
NOVO
$113,577 Vol.
NOVO
$113,577 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<40
$12,151 Vol.
3%
40-64
$5,649 Vol.
29%
65-89
$6,448 Vol.
39%
90-114
$5,390 Vol.
23%
115-139
$8,856 Vol.
7%
140-164
$14,227 Vol.
1%
165-189
$12,473 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,047 Vol.
1%
215-239
$18,532 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,806 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2–4 tilts toward 65–89 posts at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 20–30 posts daily. March 26–28 resolved squarely in the 65–89 bin, while March 30–April 1 paces similarly per the official xTracker, underscoring steady engagement amid Tesla FSD 14.3 beta rollout and Grok translation upgrades. The tight contest hinges on weekend dynamics—potential lulls versus spikes from SpaceX updates or political commentary— with 90–114 (22.5%) viable if viral moments amplify his cultural dominance on the platform. Traders eye real-time tracker data as the swing factor before April 4 ET close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$113,577Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2–4 tilts toward 65–89 posts at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 20–30 posts daily. March 26–28 resolved squarely in the 65–89 bin, while March 30–April 1 paces similarly per the official xTracker, underscoring steady engagement amid Tesla FSD 14.3 beta rollout and Grok translation upgrades. The tight contest hinges on weekend dynamics—potential lulls versus spikes from SpaceX updates or political commentary— with 90–114 (22.5%) viable if viral moments amplify his cultural dominance on the platform. Traders eye real-time tracker data as the swing factor before April 4 ET close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$113,577Data de Término
4 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count for April 2–4 tilts toward 65–89 posts at 37.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 40–64 at 28.5%, reflecting his consistent recent X activity averaging 20–30 posts daily. March 26–28 resolved squarely in the 65–89 bin, while March 30–April 1 paces similarly per the official xTracker, underscoring steady engagement amid Tesla FSD 14.3 beta rollout and Grok translation upgrades. The tight contest hinges on weekend dynamics—potential lulls versus spikes from SpaceX updates or political commentary— with 90–114 (22.5%) viable if viral moments amplify his cultural dominance on the platform. Traders eye real-time tracker data as the swing factor before April 4 ET close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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