Market icon

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon

NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

20-39 49%

40-59 38%

<20 35%

100-119 33%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 49%

40-59 38%

<20 35%

100-119 33%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$40 Vol.

35%

20-39

$0 Vol.

49%

40-59

$0 Vol.

38%

60-79

$0 Vol.

31%

80-99

$0 Vol.

29%

100-119

$20 Vol.

33%

120-139

$20 Vol.

27%

140-159

$20 Vol.

30%

160-179

$20 Vol.

6%

180-199

$30 Vol.

5%

200+

$30 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 20-39 posts at 49% implied probability for NYC Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's @NYCMayor account during March 31-April 7, mirroring his recent weekly averages of roughly 10-12 original posts, including bursts like six on March 27 responding to church vandalism in Far Rockaway and a disrupted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani. The 40-59 range at 38% reflects potential upticks from policy announcements, such as street safety press conferences and Municipal Madness initiatives, while <20 at 35% hedges quieter periods. As a new mayor since January, Mamdani maintains steady X communication on public safety, executive orders, and community events without recent strategy shifts, with Easter on April 5 as a possible catalyst.

Trader consensus favors 20-39 posts at 49% implied probability for NYC Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's @NYCMayor account during March 31-April 7, mirroring his recent weekly averages of roughly 10-12 original posts, including bursts like six on March 27 responding to church vandalism in Far Rockaway and a disrupted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani. The 40-59 range at 38% reflects potential upticks from policy announcements, such as street safety press conferences and Municipal Madness initiatives, while <20 at 35% hedges quieter periods. As a new mayor since January, Mamdani maintains steady X communication on public safety, executive orders, and community events without recent strategy shifts, with Easter on April 5 as a possible catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 20-39 posts at 49% implied probability for NYC Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's @NYCMayor account during March 31-April 7, mirroring his recent weekly averages of roughly 10-12 original posts, including bursts like six on March 27 responding to church vandalism in Far Rockaway and a disrupted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani. The 40-59 range at 38% reflects potential upticks from policy announcements, such as street safety press conferences and Municipal Madness initiatives, while <20 at 35% hedges quieter periods. As a new mayor since January, Mamdani maintains steady X communication on public safety, executive orders, and community events without recent strategy shifts, with Easter on April 5 as a possible catalyst.

Trader consensus favors 20-39 posts at 49% implied probability for NYC Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's @NYCMayor account during March 31-April 7, mirroring his recent weekly averages of roughly 10-12 original posts, including bursts like six on March 27 responding to church vandalism in Far Rockaway and a disrupted assassination plot against activist Nerdeen Kiswani. The 40-59 range at 38% reflects potential upticks from policy announcements, such as street safety press conferences and Municipal Madness initiatives, while <20 at 35% hedges quieter periods. As a new mayor since January, Mamdani maintains steady X communication on public safety, executive orders, and community events without recent strategy shifts, with Easter on April 5 as a possible catalyst.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 49%, followed by "40-59" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is "20-39" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.