Trader consensus on White House X posts from March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 100-200 range, reflecting deep uncertainty over the 2024 election winner and resulting administration communication style. Highest implied probability (18%) on 200+ posts aligns with expectations of elevated activity under a potential Trump administration, given historical patterns of frequent official updates during his first term, while lower bins favor a Harris continuation of Biden-era moderation (around 50-100 weekly posts). Recent polls showing a neck-and-neck national race, post-debate shifts, and key battleground volatility keep probabilities dispersed; resolution hinges on November election outcome, certification, and early 2025 transition signals that could preview posting cadence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoCasa Branca # posts 20 de março - 27 de março de 2026?
Casa Branca # posts 20 de março - 27 de março de 2026?
200+ 18%
180-199 16%
60-79 13%
100-119 13%
<20
4%
20-39
6%
40-59
9%
60-79
13%
80-99
16%
100-119
18%
120-139
12%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200+
18%
200+ 18%
180-199 16%
60-79 13%
100-119 13%
<20
4%
20-39
6%
40-59
9%
60-79
13%
80-99
16%
100-119
18%
120-139
12%
140-159
13%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200+
18%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts from March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 100-200 range, reflecting deep uncertainty over the 2024 election winner and resulting administration communication style. Highest implied probability (18%) on 200+ posts aligns with expectations of elevated activity under a potential Trump administration, given historical patterns of frequent official updates during his first term, while lower bins favor a Harris continuation of Biden-era moderation (around 50-100 weekly posts). Recent polls showing a neck-and-neck national race, post-debate shifts, and key battleground volatility keep probabilities dispersed; resolution hinges on November election outcome, certification, and early 2025 transition signals that could preview posting cadence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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