Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors NYC Mayor posting fewer than 40 times on X during March 27-April 3, 2026, with under 20 the top outcome at 49.5% implied probability and 20-39 at 30%, driven by current Mayor Eric Adams' historically modest weekly posting rate—typically 10-25 from his @NYCMayor and personal accounts. Recent federal corruption indictment in September 2024 has further dampened his public profile, coinciding with reduced activity amid plummeting approval ratings below 30% and trailing polls for the November 2025 election. Frontrunners like Andrew Cuomo and Brad Lander lack high-volume social media precedents, reinforcing expectations of restrained early-term engagement post-inauguration, while higher ranges reflect outlier risks from crises or campaign-style bursts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
20-39 31%
40-59 25%
60-79 23%
80-99 23%
$11,725 Vol.
$11,725 Vol.
<20
54%
20-39
31%
40-59
25%
60-79
23%
80-99
23%
100-119
23%
120-139
23%
140-159
8%
160-179
23%
180-199
23%
200+
23%
20-39 31%
40-59 25%
60-79 23%
80-99 23%
$11,725 Vol.
$11,725 Vol.
<20
54%
20-39
31%
40-59
25%
60-79
23%
80-99
23%
100-119
23%
120-139
23%
140-159
8%
160-179
23%
180-199
23%
200+
23%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors NYC Mayor posting fewer than 40 times on X during March 27-April 3, 2026, with under 20 the top outcome at 49.5% implied probability and 20-39 at 30%, driven by current Mayor Eric Adams' historically modest weekly posting rate—typically 10-25 from his @NYCMayor and personal accounts. Recent federal corruption indictment in September 2024 has further dampened his public profile, coinciding with reduced activity amid plummeting approval ratings below 30% and trailing polls for the November 2025 election. Frontrunners like Andrew Cuomo and Brad Lander lack high-volume social media precedents, reinforcing expectations of restrained early-term engagement post-inauguration, while higher ranges reflect outlier risks from crises or campaign-style bursts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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