Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting patterns, with the prior week of March 24-31 totaling 93 posts at a daily average of 13, anchoring the tight race between 100-119 (32.5%) and 80-99 (29.0%) outcomes for April 3-10. This positioning stems from consistent mid-range activity amid his presidential duties, tempered by occasional late-night sprees but fewer overall posts than 2025's 18-per-day average, amid ongoing foreign policy commentary on Iran and allies. The contest remains close due to variability from news-driven surges—such as diplomatic escalations or executive announcements—or quieter periods like Easter weekend on April 5, which could push totals toward higher bins if tensions flare or lower if schedules lighten.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado100-119 33%
80-99 30%
120-139 23%
60-79 8.8%
NOVO
NOVO
10 abr 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
2%
60-79
9%
80-99
30%
100-119
33%
120-139
23%
140-159
8%
160-179
5%
180-199
5%
200+
6%
100-119 33%
80-99 30%
120-139 23%
60-79 8.8%
NOVO
NOVO
10 abr 2026
<20
$3,597 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$310 Vol.
1%
40-59
$554 Vol.
2%
60-79
$413 Vol.
9%
80-99
$167 Vol.
30%
100-119
$80 Vol.
33%
120-139
$11 Vol.
23%
140-159
$8 Vol.
8%
160-179
$6 Vol.
5%
180-199
$6 Vol.
5%
200+
$6 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting patterns, with the prior week of March 24-31 totaling 93 posts at a daily average of 13, anchoring the tight race between 100-119 (32.5%) and 80-99 (29.0%) outcomes for April 3-10. This positioning stems from consistent mid-range activity amid his presidential duties, tempered by occasional late-night sprees but fewer overall posts than 2025's 18-per-day average, amid ongoing foreign policy commentary on Iran and allies. The contest remains close due to variability from news-driven surges—such as diplomatic escalations or executive announcements—or quieter periods like Easter weekend on April 5, which could push totals toward higher bins if tensions flare or lower if schedules lighten.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,159Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting patterns, with the prior week of March 24-31 totaling 93 posts at a daily average of 13, anchoring the tight race between 100-119 (32.5%) and 80-99 (29.0%) outcomes for April 3-10. This positioning stems from consistent mid-range activity amid his presidential duties, tempered by occasional late-night sprees but fewer overall posts than 2025's 18-per-day average, amid ongoing foreign policy commentary on Iran and allies. The contest remains close due to variability from news-driven surges—such as diplomatic escalations or executive announcements—or quieter periods like Easter weekend on April 5, which could push totals toward higher bins if tensions flare or lower if schedules lighten.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$5,159Data de Término
10 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's recent Truth Social posting patterns, with the prior week of March 24-31 totaling 93 posts at a daily average of 13, anchoring the tight race between 100-119 (32.5%) and 80-99 (29.0%) outcomes for April 3-10. This positioning stems from consistent mid-range activity amid his presidential duties, tempered by occasional late-night sprees but fewer overall posts than 2025's 18-per-day average, amid ongoing foreign policy commentary on Iran and allies. The contest remains close due to variability from news-driven surges—such as diplomatic escalations or executive announcements—or quieter periods like Easter weekend on April 5, which could push totals toward higher bins if tensions flare or lower if schedules lighten.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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