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What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31?

Market icon

What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31?

$16,569 Vol.

31 mar 2026
Polymarket

$16,569 Vol.

Polymarket

Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times

$403 Vol.

50%

Job 10+ times

$2 Vol.

47%

Nuclear 4+ times

$135 Vol.

60%

Iran 4+ times

$87 Vol.

74%

Easter 3+ times

$125 Vol.

27%

Biden / Obama 4+ times

$632 Vol.

43%

Hell 3+ times

$90 Vol.

24%

China

$416 Vol.

55%

Chicago

$124 Vol.

62%

Pool

$160 Vol.

42%

Peace

$237 Vol.

62%

Fake News

$274 Vol.

49%

Oil

$957 Vol.

77%

Ballroom

$5,901 Vol.

77%

Kennedy

$181 Vol.

69%

Elon / Musk

$116 Vol.

19%

Strait / Hormuz

$161 Vol.

72%

Autopen

$155 Vol.

39%

NATO

$804 Vol.

45%

Tariff

$412 Vol.

48%

Boots on the ground

$278 Vol.

28%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$385 Vol.

17%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$3,078 Vol.

4%

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,600 Vol.

1%

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump's scheduled executive order signing at 5PM ET today in the Oval Office—targeting election integrity by directing DHS and SSA to verify nationwide voter rolls, restrict USPS absentee ballots to approved citizens, and add barcode tracking—has sparked trader consensus on his rhetorical patterns. Recent Daily Caller reporting and White House previews today highlight the order's focus amid congressional DHS funding impasse, positioning it as a unilateral push for secure elections. Polymarket odds favor high counts of signature phrases like "million/billion/trillion" (54¢ Yes), "ballroom" (79¢), and foreign policy terms such as "Strait/Hormuz" (95¢), "Iran" (86¢), and "nuclear" (85¢), reflecting expectations of digressions into Iran tensions, energy policy, and venue nods during his typically expansive remarks, with lower odds on niche topics like "crypto" (5¢).

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,569
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.President Trump's scheduled executive order signing at 5PM ET today in the Oval Office—targeting election integrity by directing DHS and SSA to verify nationwide voter rolls, restrict USPS absentee ballots to approved citizens, and add barcode tracking—has sparked trader consensus on his rhetorical patterns. Recent Daily Caller reporting and White House previews today highlight the order's focus amid congressional DHS funding impasse, positioning it as a unilateral push for secure elections. Polymarket odds favor high counts of signature phrases like "million/billion/trillion" (54¢ Yes), "ballroom" (79¢), and foreign policy terms such as "Strait/Hormuz" (95¢), "Iran" (86¢), and "nuclear" (85¢), reflecting expectations of digressions into Iran tensions, energy policy, and venue nods during his typically expansive remarks, with lower odds on niche topics like "crypto" (5¢).

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,569
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an executive order signing event at 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the executive order signing scheduled for March 31, 2026 at 5PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President signs an Executive Order" scheduled for 5PM ET on March 31, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oil" at 78%, followed by "Ballroom" at 77%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " has generated $16.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? ," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " is "Oil" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ballroom" at 77%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during Executive Order Signing on March 31? " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.