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icon for Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?
Tech·Big Tech

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

icon for Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?
Tech·Big Tech

Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?

$6,194 Vol.

29 abr 2026
Polymarket

$6,194 Vol.

Polymarket

800M

$2,220 Vol.

No

900M

$350 Vol.

No

1B

$3,624 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings, released April 29, omitted disclosure of the Gemini app's monthly active users—previously 750 million at Q4 2025 end—despite robust AI momentum, including 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users and first-party models processing 16 billion tokens per minute via API, up 60%. This absence heightens resolution uncertainty for markets tracking specific thresholds, as official materials define outcomes. Gemini continues gaining competitive positioning, with website traffic share rising to 25% from 6% year-over-year while ChatGPT slips to 57%, fueled by March 2026 updates like enhanced Gemini Live context retention and Personal Intelligence features. Traders eye potential supplemental filings ahead of Q2 reporting in July.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.

The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,194
Data de Término
29 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Alphabet's Q1 2026 earnings, released April 29, omitted disclosure of the Gemini app's monthly active users—previously 750 million at Q4 2025 end—despite robust AI momentum, including 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in Gemini Enterprise paid monthly active users and first-party models processing 16 billion tokens per minute via API, up 60%. This absence heightens resolution uncertainty for markets tracking specific thresholds, as official materials define outcomes. Gemini continues gaining competitive positioning, with website traffic share rising to 25% from 6% year-over-year while ChatGPT slips to 57%, fueled by March 2026 updates like enhanced Gemini Live context retention and Personal Intelligence features. Traders eye potential supplemental filings ahead of Q2 reporting in July.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”.

The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$6,194
Data de Término
29 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alphabet, in its official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, reports that the Gemini App’s Monthly Active Users reached or exceeded the listed amount at any point. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. Only reports of the specified metric which explicitly indicate that the Gemini app’s monthly active users reached or exceeded the listed amount will qualify. For example, reports that the Gemini app’s monthly active users were “around” 800 million would not be sufficient to resolve a market for above 800 million monthly active users to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market is Alphabet's official company earnings materials for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "800M" at 0%, followed by "900M" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" is "800M" at just 0%, with "900M" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Google reports Gemini monthly active users above __ in Q1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.