Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cycle, spanning nearly two decades with September launches for flagship models, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside a potential foldable variant, even as the company experiments with a split timeline that defers base models to early 2027. This pattern, combined with ongoing hardware development and WWDC 2026 timing signals, reinforces trader confidence in at least partial lineup availability before year-end. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory hurdles, or major technical setbacks like production stalls could theoretically shift dates, such events remain low-probability given Apple's established manufacturing cadence and advance planning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Apple lançará o iPhone 18 em 2026?
A Apple lançará o iPhone 18 em 2026?
Sim
$116,503 Vol.
$116,503 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$116,503 Vol.
$116,503 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cycle, spanning nearly two decades with September launches for flagship models, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside a potential foldable variant, even as the company experiments with a split timeline that defers base models to early 2027. This pattern, combined with ongoing hardware development and WWDC 2026 timing signals, reinforces trader confidence in at least partial lineup availability before year-end. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory hurdles, or major technical setbacks like production stalls could theoretically shift dates, such events remain low-probability given Apple's established manufacturing cadence and advance planning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Volume
$116,503Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cycle, spanning nearly two decades with September launches for flagship models, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside a potential foldable variant, even as the company experiments with a split timeline that defers base models to early 2027. This pattern, combined with ongoing hardware development and WWDC 2026 timing signals, reinforces trader confidence in at least partial lineup availability before year-end. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory hurdles, or major technical setbacks like production stalls could theoretically shift dates, such events remain low-probability given Apple's established manufacturing cadence and advance planning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$116,503Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's consistent annual iPhone release cycle, spanning nearly two decades with September launches for flagship models, underpins the 96.5% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and analyst updates confirm the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max are on track for a fall 2026 debut alongside a potential foldable variant, even as the company experiments with a split timeline that defers base models to early 2027. This pattern, combined with ongoing hardware development and WWDC 2026 timing signals, reinforces trader confidence in at least partial lineup availability before year-end. While extreme supply disruptions, regulatory hurdles, or major technical setbacks like production stalls could theoretically shift dates, such events remain low-probability given Apple's established manufacturing cadence and advance planning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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