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icon for Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?

icon for Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?

Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?

96-97°F 100.0%

87°F ou menos <1%

88-89°F <1%

90-91°F <1%

Polymarket

$57,641 Vol.

96-97°F 100.0%

87°F ou menos <1%

88-89°F <1%

90-91°F <1%

Polymarket

$57,641 Vol.

87°F ou menos

$4,555 Vol.

Não

88-89°F

$2,375 Vol.

Não

90-91°F

$14,390 Vol.

Não

92-93°F

$7,409 Vol.

Não

94-95°F

$5,742 Vol.

Não

96-97°F

$7,912 Vol.

Sim

98-99°F

$3,807 Vol.

Não

100-101°F

$1,926 Vol.

Não

102-103°F

$3,040 Vol.

Não

104-105°F

$2,554 Vol.

Não

106°F ou mais

$3,932 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,641
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Austin's July 1 high temperature centers on the 94–97°F range because long-range models and climatological data point to near-normal summer conditions under subtropical high pressure.** Historical averages place the July 1 maximum at 95°F, with July typically featuring highs of 96–97°F amid abundant sunshine and southeasterly flow. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks favor above-normal warmth for the period, yet short-term variability from Gulf moisture, afternoon cloud build-up, or weak disturbances can trim peak readings by 1–3°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around the mid-90s, producing the near-even split between the two leading bins while keeping lower (≤93°F) and higher (≥98°F) outcomes at single-digit probabilities. Official National Weather Service updates and model runs in the next 24 hours will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that ultimately set the daily maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,641
Data de Término
1 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 29, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "96-97°F" at 100%, followed by "87°F ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?" has generated $57.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?" is "96-97°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "87°F ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 1 de julho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.