Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin em 14 de junho?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$64,951 Vol.
$64,951 Vol.
83°F ou menos
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Sim
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Não
102°F ou mais
Não
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
30-31°C <1%
$64,951 Vol.
$64,951 Vol.
83°F ou menos
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90-91°F
Não
92-93°F
Sim
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100-101°F
Não
102°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service measurements at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport recorded a verified maximum of 92°F on June 14, 2026, aligning precisely with the 92-93°F market bin and driving its 100% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical early-June climatology in Central Texas, where average daily highs reach 93-94°F amid strengthening subtropical ridging, though a passing cold front and associated cloud cover moderated peak heating by roughly 1-2°F below the seasonal norm. Traders priced in this consensus based on real-time model guidance and station data from NOAA. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction, post hoc data revision, or resolution to a non-KAUS station could realistically alter the result, both of which are exceedingly rare for NWS climatological reports.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions