Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 14 de junho?
10°C 100.0%
5°C ou menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
5°C ou menos
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Sim
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C ou mais
Não
10°C 100.0%
5°C ou menos <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Vol.
$39,582 Vol.
5°C ou menos
Não
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C
Sim
11°C
Não
12°C
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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