Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chongqing no dia 2 de maio?
Temperatura mais alta em Chongqing no dia 2 de maio?
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 Vol.
$64,044 Vol.
2 mai 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Sim
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
23°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$64,044 Vol.
$64,044 Vol.
2 mai 2026
15°C ou menos
$1,037 Vol.
Não
16°C
$762 Vol.
Não
17°C
$1,432 Vol.
Não
18°C
$6,328 Vol.
Não
19°C
$5,717 Vol.
Não
20°C
$3,541 Vol.
Não
21°C
$5,238 Vol.
Não
22°C
$9,916 Vol.
Não
23°C
$10,759 Vol.
Sim
24°C
$10,360 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$8,953 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$64,044Data de Término
2 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,044Data de Término
2 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on May 2, 2026, backed by official observational data from the China Meteorological Administration and Weather Underground records showing midday peaks at 23°C. Persistent overcast skies, morning showers, northwest winds ushering cooler air masses, and high humidity suppressed solar insolation and convective heating, capping temperatures well below May's climatological average high of 27°C. Short-range forecast models from NOAA analogs aligned with this outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected late-afternoon clearing and rapid radiative warming before sunset, though METAR reports indicate diminishing potential as evening sets in; final Wunderground data finalization will trigger resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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