Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a high near 105°F on August 20 under sunny skies and strong high pressure, positioning the 104-105°F bracket as the clear leader at 55.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has sustained above-normal heat across north Texas, with recent days recording maxima of 101-104°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit daytime warming. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings into the 106-107°F range favored by the next tier of odds. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical late-August extremes when assessing resolution around the market’s temperature thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 20 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Dallas em 20 de agosto?
104-105°F 55%
106-107°F 18%
108-109°F 16%
102-103°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
99°F or below
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
18%
108-109°F
16%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
5%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
1%
118°F or higher
1%
104-105°F 55%
106-107°F 18%
108-109°F 16%
102-103°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
20 ago 2026
99°F or below
$5 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$33 Vol.
12%
104-105°F
$66 Vol.
55%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
18%
108-109°F
$0 Vol.
16%
110-111°F
$61 Vol.
4%
112-113°F
$5 Vol.
5%
114-115°F
$5 Vol.
1%
116-117°F
$0 Vol.
1%
118°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a high near 105°F on August 20 under sunny skies and strong high pressure, positioning the 104-105°F bracket as the clear leader at 55.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has sustained above-normal heat across north Texas, with recent days recording maxima of 101-104°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit daytime warming. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings into the 106-107°F range favored by the next tier of odds. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical late-August extremes when assessing resolution around the market’s temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$175Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a high near 105°F on August 20 under sunny skies and strong high pressure, positioning the 104-105°F bracket as the clear leader at 55.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has sustained above-normal heat across north Texas, with recent days recording maxima of 101-104°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit daytime warming. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings into the 106-107°F range favored by the next tier of odds. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical late-August extremes when assessing resolution around the market’s temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175Data de Término
20 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth point to a high near 105°F on August 20 under sunny skies and strong high pressure, positioning the 104-105°F bracket as the clear leader at 55.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has sustained above-normal heat across north Texas, with recent days recording maxima of 101-104°F and minimal cloud cover or moisture to limit daytime warming. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could push readings into the 106-107°F range favored by the next tier of odds. Traders weigh these official guidance updates against historical late-August extremes when assessing resolution around the market’s temperature thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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