Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 12?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$36,075 Vol.
$36,075 Vol.
12 mai 2026
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$36,075 Vol.
$36,075 Vol.
12 mai 2026
41°F or below
$2,725 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$1,695 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$1,320 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,890 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$2,230 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,629 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$1,678 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$3,160 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,128 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$4,115 Vol.
No
60°F or higher
$13,506 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volume
$36,075Data de Término
12 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$36,075Data de Término
12 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 60°F or higher in Denver on May 12, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a peak near 78°F at Denver International Airport, corroborated by consensus across GFS and ECMWF models showing persistent high-pressure ridging and ample solar heating at elevation. Morning observations from KDEN already surpassed 61°F under clear skies with light winds, aligning with historical May 12 normals around 70°F and recent spring warming trends absent any cold frontal threats. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen upslope flow or convective cooling, but current upper-air patterns and forecast stability render such shifts improbable as the day progresses toward official hourly updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions