Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 12 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul em 12 de julho?
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,721 Vol.
$13,721 Vol.
12 jul 2026
20°C ou menos
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
20°C ou menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,721 Vol.
$13,721 Vol.
12 jul 2026
20°C ou menos
$533 Vol.
Não
21°C
$510 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,266 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,777 Vol.
Não
24°C
$1,631 Vol.
Não
25°C
$2,870 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$1,905 Vol.
Não
27°C
$734 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,151 Vol.
Não
29°C
$479 Vol.
Não
30°C ou mais
$865 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,721Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,721Data de Término
12 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders see Seoul's July 12 overnight low clustered around the 23–25 °C range because the ongoing Changma monsoon continues to deliver extensive cloud cover and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest differences in the timing and extent of cloud breaks or rainfall intensity over the next 48 hours, which directly influence how far temperatures can fall below the seasonal 24 °C climatological average before sunrise. Persistent high humidity and light winds further suppress cooling, keeping outcomes below 22 °C or above 26 °C less probable unless a clearer, drier slot develops. Updated KMA and global ensemble runs expected in the next day will likely sharpen the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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