Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at the King's Park reference station confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 26.7°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 25°C or higher outcome as the market nears resolution. This observational data, recorded under clear skies amid an exceptionally warm April—marked by above-normal temperatures and abundant sunshine—solidifies the positioning, aligning with seasonal norms where late-April highs often exceed 25°C due to strengthening subtropical high pressure. While forecast models had anticipated mild conditions, the verified reading leaves negligible uncertainty; only an unprecedented data revision by HKO could challenge it, though such corrections are rare for established records. Traders await the final monthly weather summary for archival confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 30?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$197,109 Vol.
$197,109 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$197,109 Vol.
$197,109 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements at the King's Park reference station confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 26.7°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on the 25°C or higher outcome as the market nears resolution. This observational data, recorded under clear skies amid an exceptionally warm April—marked by above-normal temperatures and abundant sunshine—solidifies the positioning, aligning with seasonal norms where late-April highs often exceed 25°C due to strengthening subtropical high pressure. While forecast models had anticipated mild conditions, the verified reading leaves negligible uncertainty; only an unprecedented data revision by HKO could challenge it, though such corrections are rare for established records. Traders await the final monthly weather summary for archival confirmation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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