Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 14 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 14 de junho?
32°C a 32,8°C 100.0%
81°F ou menos <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 Vol.
$52,766 Vol.
14 jun 2026
81°F ou menos
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32°C a 32,8°C
Sim
92-93°F
Não
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98-99°F
Não
100°F ou mais
Não
32°C a 32,8°C 100.0%
81°F ou menos <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$52,766 Vol.
$52,766 Vol.
14 jun 2026
81°F ou menos
$4,343 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$1,514 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$3,225 Vol.
Não
30-31°C
$9,724 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$12,738 Vol.
Não
32°C a 32,8°C
$7,403 Vol.
Sim
92-93°F
$5,470 Vol.
Não
94-95°F
$3,269 Vol.
Não
96-97°F
$3,525 Vol.
Não
98-99°F
$770 Vol.
Não
100°F ou mais
$784 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$52,766Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,766Data de Término
14 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including William P. Hobby Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 90–91°F in Houston on June 14, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This falls within the climatological normal high of 92°F for mid-June and reflects typical early-summer atmospheric conditions—warm Gulf moisture, moderate southerly flow, and limited cloud cover—without the stronger ridging or downslope warming that would push readings to 100°F or above. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification capable of exceeding 95°F, keeping extreme outcomes below 1% implied probability. Resolution hinges on the verified NWS climatological report, with any post-event data revisions representing the only realistic uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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