Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 40°C (35%) or 41°C (29%) in Lucknow on April 16, slightly outpacing the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of 39°C maximum under clear skies, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 1-2°C upside from enhanced solar heating. Recent observations indicate a sharp uptrend, with April 13's 36.1°C rising toward 39°C amid persistent clear conditions, low humidity (20-60%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative forcing and wide diurnal range (min ~23°C). Differentiating factors include possible afternoon haze suppressing peaks versus dry soils amplifying surface heating; final resolution hinges on Lucknow Airport station readings, with IMD's April 15 update potentially shifting odds before observations close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 16?
40°C 36%
41°C 30%
39°C 17%
42°C 12%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
17%
40°C
36%
41°C
30%
42°C
12%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
40°C 36%
41°C 30%
39°C 17%
42°C 12%
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
17%
40°C
36%
41°C
30%
42°C
12%
43°C
3%
44°C
2%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 40°C (35%) or 41°C (29%) in Lucknow on April 16, slightly outpacing the India Meteorological Department's (IMD) latest forecast of 39°C maximum under clear skies, reflecting uncertainty in short-term model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that show potential for 1-2°C upside from enhanced solar heating. Recent observations indicate a sharp uptrend, with April 13's 36.1°C rising toward 39°C amid persistent clear conditions, low humidity (20-60%), and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative forcing and wide diurnal range (min ~23°C). Differentiating factors include possible afternoon haze suppressing peaks versus dry soils amplifying surface heating; final resolution hinges on Lucknow Airport station readings, with IMD's April 15 update potentially shifting odds before observations close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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