Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 15 de agosto?
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
32°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
35%
34°C
36%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
33°C 35%
35°C 16%
32°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
28°C or below
$717 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$903 Vol.
1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$173 Vol.
2%
32°C
$447 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,037 Vol.
35%
34°C
$1,791 Vol.
36%
35°C
$786 Vol.
16%
36°C
$312 Vol.
4%
37°C
$111 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$247 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,616Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,616Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80-90%, and scattered showers or thunderstorms, are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow and driving the near-even market split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These factors limit surface solar heating and reduce the diurnal range, consistent with India Meteorological Department guidance and numerical model consensus pointing to highs of 31-34°C under prevailing easterly flow. Recent model runs show variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could tip the exact peak by 1°C, while historical August averages near 31°C and low probabilities for extremes underscore why outcomes above 35°C or below 32°C remain marginal. Fresh observational updates and the next forecast cycle will clarify resolution ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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