**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 100.0%
27°C ou menos <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 Vol.
$90,466 Vol.
13 jun 2026
27°C ou menos
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Sim
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C ou menos <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 Vol.
$90,466 Vol.
13 jun 2026
27°C ou menos
$507 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,472 Vol.
Não
29°C
$1,504 Vol.
Não
30°C
$2,242 Vol.
Não
31°C
$1,354 Vol.
Não
32°C
$9,543 Vol.
Não
33°C
$27,211 Vol.
Não
34°C
$12,937 Vol.
Sim
35°C
$14,760 Vol.
Não
36°C
$13,058 Vol.
Não
37°C or higher
$5,879 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$90,466Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,466Data de Término
13 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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