The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 4 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 4 de julho?
34°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,830 Vol.
$68,830 Vol.
4 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Sim
35°C
Não
36°C ou mais
Não
34°C 100.0%
26°C ou menos <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,830 Vol.
$68,830 Vol.
4 jul 2026
26°C ou menos
$2,978 Vol.
Não
27°C
$3,218 Vol.
Não
28°C
$2,785 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,823 Vol.
Não
30°C
$3,337 Vol.
Não
31°C
$5,302 Vol.
Não
32°C
$10,217 Vol.
Não
33°C
$16,282 Vol.
Não
34°C
$7,442 Vol.
Sim
35°C
$9,368 Vol.
Não
36°C ou mais
$5,079 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$68,830Data de Término
4 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$68,830Data de Término
4 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates western Luzon including Manila, driving persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. PAGASA outlooks for July 4 project a 32°C high with an 80% rain chance, aligning with July climatology of 31°C averages amid high humidity. Recent low-pressure areas and tropical cyclone activity have strengthened monsoon flow, further suppressing peaks, though model spreads on exact rainfall timing and intensity create uncertainty between 32°C and 34°C outcomes. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward 33°C. Fresh PAGASA and global model updates will refine the picture ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions