Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 19 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 19 de julho?
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$34,035 Vol.
$34,035 Vol.
19 jul 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
25°C 100.0%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$34,035 Vol.
$34,035 Vol.
19 jul 2026
19°C ou menos
$1,732 Vol.
Não
20°C
$4,153 Vol.
Não
21°C
$3,319 Vol.
Não
22°C
$2,340 Vol.
Não
23°C
$2,304 Vol.
Não
24°C
$2,970 Vol.
Não
25°C
$4,083 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$8,207 Vol.
Não
27°C
$2,979 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,200 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$747 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$34,035Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,035Data de Término
19 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 17, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional analyses indicate a daily maximum temperature near 25°C for Mexico City on July 19, aligning with the market's leading 38.5% implied probability for that outcome and 27.5% for 26°C. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's high-altitude subtropical highland climate typically moderates July highs to an average of 23–24°C during the rainy season, when afternoon convective showers and cloud cover limit solar heating and peak temperatures. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from these norms, with light precipitation expected to cap extremes, supporting the tight clustering around 24–26°C while assigning low odds to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated guidance closer to resolution will refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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