Official meteorological observations from Mexico City confirmed a daytime maximum of at least 25°C on May 27, aligning with late-spring climatological norms of 26–28°C highs driven by seasonal warming and the transition toward the rainy season. Recent CONAGUA and international model guidance had consistently projected this range, with minimal variability in forecast runs supporting trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C-or-higher outcome. This positioning reflects verified station data rather than projections, though minor revisions in post-event quality control or differing measurement methodologies could theoretically adjust the final recorded value within a narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 27?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$25,868 Vol.
$25,868 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$25,868 Vol.
$25,868 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 25, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official meteorological observations from Mexico City confirmed a daytime maximum of at least 25°C on May 27, aligning with late-spring climatological norms of 26–28°C highs driven by seasonal warming and the transition toward the rainy season. Recent CONAGUA and international model guidance had consistently projected this range, with minimal variability in forecast runs supporting trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 25°C-or-higher outcome. This positioning reflects verified station data rather than projections, though minor revisions in post-event quality control or differing measurement methodologies could theoretically adjust the final recorded value within a narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions