Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 20 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 20 de setembro?
26°C 56%
27°C ou mais 31%
25°C 12%
24°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
12%
26°C
56%
27°C ou mais
31%
26°C 56%
27°C ou mais 31%
25°C 12%
24°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
20 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$26 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$366 Vol.
2%
25°C
$537 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,720 Vol.
56%
27°C ou mais
$3,370 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,671Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,671Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on September 20 indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle chances of 30–50%, consistent with the ongoing late rainy season at the city's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters. These conditions, including widespread cloud cover and modest northerly winds, limit surface heating and support the market's strong weighting toward 26°C as the most probable peak. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional forecasts shows occasional warmer scenarios reaching 27°C or higher if afternoon clearing occurs, aligning with the 30.5% implied probability, while historical September averages near 24°C provide baseline context for the current trader positioning. Updated model runs and official observations through midday will refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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