Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 2?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 Vol.
$79,966 Vol.
2 mai 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,966 Vol.
$79,966 Vol.
2 mai 2026
9°C or below
$7,683 Vol.
No
10°C
$6,712 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,466 Vol.
No
12°C
$4,825 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,109 Vol.
No
14°C
$13,199 Vol.
No
15°C
$10,241 Vol.
Yes
16°C
$13,593 Vol.
No
17°C
$5,241 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,668 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$3,228 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$79,966Data de Término
2 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,966Data de Término
2 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a 15°C high temperature in Moscow today, reflecting the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Roshydromet), which predict cloudy skies and daytime highs of +10 to +15°C amid southwesterly winds. Ensemble model runs from Roshydromet and supporting international guidance like ECMWF align on limited solar insolation due to persistent overcast conditions, keeping readings below seasonal norms of around 17–19°C. Observations so far match this, with afternoon projections capping at 15°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or urban heat effects at Vnukovo Airport's official station, though model uncertainty remains low as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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