Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a daily maximum near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport for August 19, with marine-layer stratus and persistent onshore flow limiting afternoon warming. This keeps the most likely outcomes in the 70-73°F range, where trader probabilities cluster around 54% combined. The cool Pacific current and typical summer sea breeze suppress temperatures several degrees below inland norms, while any thinning of morning clouds or slight offshore wind shift could push readings into the mid-70s. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the period, reflecting stable synoptic conditions without significant ridging or heat advection. Historical August averages near 67-70°F further anchor expectations, with resolution hinging on the official NWS observation at KSFO.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 19 de agosto?
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 25%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 16%
65°F ou menos
5%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
70-71°F 35%
72-73°F 25%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 16%
65°F ou menos
5%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts point to a daily maximum near 70°F at San Francisco International Airport for August 19, with marine-layer stratus and persistent onshore flow limiting afternoon warming. This keeps the most likely outcomes in the 70-73°F range, where trader probabilities cluster around 54% combined. The cool Pacific current and typical summer sea breeze suppress temperatures several degrees below inland norms, while any thinning of morning clouds or slight offshore wind shift could push readings into the mid-70s. Model consensus shows little day-to-day change through the period, reflecting stable synoptic conditions without significant ridging or heat advection. Historical August averages near 67-70°F further anchor expectations, with resolution hinging on the official NWS observation at KSFO.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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