Current meteorological forecasts for São Paulo on August 11 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, driven by persistent overcast skies, southeasterly flow, and cooler air advection typical of Southern Hemisphere winter under stable high-pressure influence. This aligns with model consensus from regional and global guidance showing suppressed daytime heating compared to the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Key variables include cloud cover limiting solar insolation, surface wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, and minimal moisture for warming. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this consensus while allowing for minor station-specific or urban-heat variations; official observations from Brazilian monitoring agencies will resolve the market. Updated model runs and any late shifts in pressure patterns could influence final readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 11 de agosto?
17°C 43%
16°C 31%
15°C 14%
18°C 13%
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
31%
17°C
43%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C ou mais
1%
17°C 43%
16°C 31%
15°C 14%
18°C 13%
11°C ou menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
31%
17°C
43%
18°C
13%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for São Paulo on August 11 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, driven by persistent overcast skies, southeasterly flow, and cooler air advection typical of Southern Hemisphere winter under stable high-pressure influence. This aligns with model consensus from regional and global guidance showing suppressed daytime heating compared to the August climatological average of 23–25°C. Key variables include cloud cover limiting solar insolation, surface wind speeds around 20–30 km/h, and minimal moisture for warming. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this consensus while allowing for minor station-specific or urban-heat variations; official observations from Brazilian monitoring agencies will resolve the market. Updated model runs and any late shifts in pressure patterns could influence final readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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