Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 16 de junho?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 16 de junho?
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$34,435 Vol.
$34,435 Vol.
16 jun 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22 °C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$34,435 Vol.
$34,435 Vol.
16 jun 2026
14°C ou menos
$289 Vol.
Não
15°C
$469 Vol.
Não
16°C
$3,353 Vol.
Não
17°C
$4,869 Vol.
Não
18°C
$5,207 Vol.
Não
19°C
$6,513 Vol.
Sim
20°C
$4,267 Vol.
Não
21°C
$3,272 Vol.
Não
22 °C
$4,029 Vol.
Não
23°C
$746 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$1,420 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$34,435Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,435Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies consistently indicated a daily maximum temperature near 19°C for São Paulo on June 16, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions influenced by cooler air masses over southeastern Brazil and the city’s elevation around 760 meters. This aligns with climatological baselines showing June highs averaging 18–21°C, with limited diurnal warming under partly cloudy skies and no significant heat advection. Official observations have now confirmed this outcome, driving the market’s near-certain implied probability for 19°C. Only minor variations in station-specific recordings or microclimate effects could realistically alter resolution, though such deviations remain unlikely given the consensus data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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